College football odds, picks for 2025-26 bowl season, CFP: Computer backs Nebraska, Mississippi State
SportsLine's computer model has revealed its college football bowl picks and CFP first-round predictions after 10,000 simulations of each game

The 2025-26 college football bowl schedule has seen 15 games plus the CFP first round completed, and the action will continue on Saturday with eight bowl games, the largest single-day slate of the postseason. There are four matchups of Power 4 squads as Clemson is -2.5 against Penn State in the Pinstripe Bowl, BYU is -3.5 vs. Georgia Tech in the Pop-Tarts Bowl, Missouri is -4 vs. Virginia in the Gator Bowl and Houston is -1.5 vs. LSU in the Houston Bowl.
The CFP quarterfinals then begin on New Year's Eve, with the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes favored by 9.5 points over the No. 10 Miami Hurricanes in the Cotton Bowl. Before locking in any college football bowl picks for those games or others, be sure to see the latest bowl and playoff college football predictions from SportsLine's proven model.
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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it is 31-19 on its top-rated college football money-line picks since the beginning of the 2024 season.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds and 2025-26 bowl season college football betting lines on the spread, money line and over/under. Head here to see every pick.
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Top college football predictions for bowl season
One of the college football picks the model is high on during the 2025-26 college football bowl schedule: Nebraska (+14.5, 50.5) covers against No. 15 Utah in the Las Vegas Bowl at 3:30 p.m. ET on New Year's Eve. Utah was expected to have head coach Kyle Whittingham for one more game, but his decision to take the Michigan job changed those plans, leaving the Utes to scramble with just days to go before the matchup. Dylan Raiola (injury/portal) is out for Nebraska, but freshman TJ Lateef got some quality experience late in the season and should be able to keep Nebraska within this big number. SportsLine's model projects that this will be a one-score game as Nebraska covers well over 60% of the time. See which other picks the model likes here, and bet on Nebraska here:
Another prediction: Mississippi State (-3.5, 53.5) covers against Wake Forest in the Duke's Mayo Bowl on Jan. 2, which is the final bowl game of the 2025-26 season at 8 p.m. ET. The Bulldogs were 5-7 this year, but got the invitation because there weren't enough .500 teams available. MSU's roster is relatively intact, while Wake Forest has lost some key pieces to the transfer portal and isn't expected to have star running back Demond Claiborne after he declared for the NFL Draft. SportsLine's model projects that MSU covers nearly 60% of the time. See the rest of the model's picks here, and bet on Mississippi State to cover here:
How to make college football picks for bowl season
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every 2025-26 college football bowl game, and it's calling for multiple underdogs to win outright. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine, and for a limited time you can use promo code CHAMPIONSHIP to get your first month at SportsLine for $1.
So what college football picks can you make with confidence, and which underdogs are projected to win outright? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has simulated every game 10,000 times, and find out.
2025-26 college football bowl odds
See full college football bowl picks, odds, predictions here
(odds subject to change)
Saturday, Dec. 27
Military Bowl: Pittsburgh vs. East Carolina (+13.5, 52.5)
Pinstripe Bowl: Clemson vs. Penn State (+2.5, 47.5)
Fenway Bowl: Army vs. UConn (+7.5, 42.5)
Pop-Tarts Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. BYU (-3.5, 55.5)
Arizona Bowl: Miami (OH) vs. Fresno State (-5.5, 40.5)
New Mexico Bowl: North Texas vs. San Diego State (+6.5, 52.5)
Gator Bowl: Virginia vs. Missouri (-4, 43.5)
Texas Bowl: LSU vs. Houston (-1.5, 41.5)
Monday, Dec. 29:
Birmingham Bowl: Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State (+7, 59.5)
Tuesday, Dec. 30
Independence Bowl: Louisiana Tech vs. Coastal Carolina (+9.5, 51.5)
Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Illinois (+2.5, 61.5)
Alamo Bowl: USC vs. TCU (+6.5, 55.5)
Wednesday, Dec. 31
ReliaQuest Bowl: Iowa vs. Vanderbilt (-4.5, 46.5)
Sun Bowl: Arizona State vs. Duke (-3, 49.5)
Citrus Bowl: Michigan vs. Texas (-7.5, 48.5)
Las Vegas Bowl: Nebraska vs. Utah (-14.5, 50.5)
CFP quarterfinal/Cotton Bowl: Miami vs. Ohio State (-9.5, 42.5)
Thursday, Jan. 1
CFP quarterfinal/Orange Bowl: Oregon vs. Texas Tech (+2.5, 52.5)
CFP quarterfinal/Rose Bowl: Alabama vs. Indiana (-7, 48.5)
CFP quarterfinal/Sugar Bowl: Ole Miss vs. Georgia (-6.5, 56.5)
Friday, Jan. 2
Armed Forces Bowl: Rice vs. Texas State (-11.5, 59.5)
Liberty Bowl: Navy vs. Cincinnati (+7, 54.5)
Holiday Bowl: Arizona vs. SMU (+3, 51.5)
Duke's Mayo Bowl: Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State (-3.5, 53.5)
















